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Red71
172034.6
548413.4
152925.3
Blue94
44730.8
317631.9
217132.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310102040801201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#21
34.60.3
30.931.2
Auto9.7
Teleop22.3
End2.6
red by 2.4
32.20.1
30.830.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End5.5
Second
1529
#20
25.30.3
23.123.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 6.6
31.90.1
32.632.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End5.0
Third
5484
#31
13.40.3
13.213.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
blue by 17.3
447
#16
30.80.1
29.329.4
Auto10.5
Teleop16.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed