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Red103
174137.8
594424.2
348721.6
Blue72
7434.5
478119.2
394032.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8393020406012014016010372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#12
37.80.0
37.537.6
Auto8.9
Teleop23.7
End5.2
red by 3.3
74
#17
34.51.5
33.432.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End10.3
Second
5944
#24
24.20.1
22.622.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.8
End3.3
blue by 8.7
3940
#22
32.91.1
34.533.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.1
End6.1
Third
3487
#29
21.60.1
22.222.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
red by 2.4
4781
#36
19.21.3
20.519.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed