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Red103
277139.3
410337.4
448525.3
Blue122
46132.4
498241.6
318024.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321226080100140160180200103122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.30.5
39.839.3
Auto9.2
Teleop27.2
End3.0
blue by 2.3
41.60.0
42.342.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.6
End5.8
Second
37.40.5
37.837.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End7.7
red by 4.9
461
#8
32.40.0
33.133.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.8
End3.6
Third
4485
#25
25.30.5
25.825.3
Auto8.0
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 0.7
3180
#23
24.70.0
25.325.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End3.2