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Red135
394032.9
317631.9
348721.6
Blue152
174739.9
29233.1
394733.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214450200135152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#22
32.90.1
32.832.9
Auto9.7
Teleop17.1
End6.1
blue by 7.0
1747
#19
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
31.90.1
31.831.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End5.0
blue by 1.2
292
#6
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
3487
#29
21.60.1
21.521.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 11.5
3947
#13
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.6
End4.4