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Red158
150140.1
355935.0
6825.7
Blue139
174130.6
335727.9
217126.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241036080140160180200158139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.3
39.740.0
Auto12.0
Teleop24.4
End3.8
red by 9.6
1741
#17
30.60.2
30.330.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
35.00.3
34.534.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End6.4
red by 7.0
3357
#10
27.90.2
27.627.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Third
68
#36
25.70.3
25.225.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End3.1
blue by 1.0
2171
#14
26.60.2
26.426.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4