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Red131
150140.1
355935.0
6825.7
Blue156
174130.6
335727.9
217126.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251046080140160180200131156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.1
40.040.1
Auto12.0
Teleop24.4
End3.8
red by 9.6
1741
#17
30.60.5
30.531.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
35.00.1
34.835.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End6.4
red by 7.0
3357
#10
27.90.5
27.928.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Third
68
#36
25.70.1
25.525.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End3.1
blue by 1.0
2171
#14
26.60.5
26.627.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4