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Red78
386521.1
317626.5
393628.9
Blue65
13535.8
484610.3
164624.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557102040801001207865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.5
17.319.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.2
blue by 6.9
135
#11
35.80.7
29.428.6
Auto10.0
Teleop18.1
End7.7
Second
3176
#21
26.52.5
20.122.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End4.0
red by 2.5
1646
#24
24.00.7
20.419.7
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
3865
#31
21.12.5
18.520.9
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
red by 10.9
4846
#38
10.30.7
16.716.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed