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Red64
479116.1
150140.1
219716.9
Blue81
498232.8
314725.4
217126.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725802040801001206481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.3
32.932.6
Auto12.0
Teleop24.4
End3.8
red by 7.3
4982
#12
32.80.8
21.822.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Second
2197
#33
16.90.4
18.818.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 9.8
2171
#14
26.60.8
17.218.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Third
4791
#32
16.10.4
16.215.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 9.3
3147
#27
25.40.8
19.820.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed