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Red87
86831.6
540325.3
317626.5
Blue93
174741.8
44723.2
394032.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions789640601201401608793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#8
31.60.4
26.727.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
blue by 10.2
41.80.3
37.137.4
Auto15.5
Teleop21.8
End4.4
Second
3176
#21
26.50.4
27.628.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 5.8
32.30.3
28.228.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
Third
5403
#28
25.30.4
24.124.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End4.6
red by 2.1
447
#22
23.20.3
25.225.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed