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Red104
498232.8
335727.9
6825.7
Blue71
236021.3
174130.6
540217.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786620406010012014010471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#12
32.83.1
25.328.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 2.3
1741
#17
30.60.6
27.828.4
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
3357
#10
27.93.1
23.526.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
red by 6.6
2360
#18
21.30.6
18.919.4
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End3.0
Third
68
#36
25.73.1
25.028.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End3.1
red by 8.1
5402
#37
17.50.6
19.019.5
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed