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Red100
394032.3
290915.7
13535.8
Blue78
349416.4
479116.1
355935.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8063204010012010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#11
35.82.4
33.836.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.1
End7.7
red by 0.9
35.00.9
28.128.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End6.4
Second
32.32.4
28.530.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
red by 15.9
3494
#26
16.41.0
18.119.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Third
2909
#34
15.72.4
13.115.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End1.1
blue by 0.4
4791
#32
16.10.9
17.618.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed