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Red78
86831.6
46126.1
219716.9
Blue68
540325.3
318018.4
29228.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67812040601001201407868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#8
31.60.1
27.127.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
red by 2.8
292
#9
28.80.8
30.129.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.7
End4.8
Second
461
#16
26.10.1
27.227.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End3.0
red by 0.8
5403
#28
25.30.9
24.523.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End4.6
Third
2197
#33
16.90.1
12.912.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 1.5
3180
#19
18.40.8
22.221.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed