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Red88
335727.9
4523.5
170132.6
Blue34
217126.6
349416.4
484610.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836220401001201408834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.7
28.429.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.3
End5.0
red by 5.9
2171
#14
26.62.6
28.626.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Second
3357
#10
27.90.9
26.727.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.3
End5.5
red by 11.5
3494
#26
16.42.8
19.116.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.6
End1.9
Third
45
#15
23.50.9
22.523.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End1.7
red by 13.2
4846
#38
10.32.6
15.512.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed