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Red51
540217.5
448519.0
219716.9
Blue83
164624.0
386521.1
394032.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51812040601001201401605183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#35
19.00.3
21.321.0
Auto2.0
Teleop14.0
End3.0
blue by 13.3
32.30.4
30.931.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
Second
5402
#37
17.50.3
20.119.8
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End2.9
blue by 6.5
1646
#24
24.00.4
24.624.9
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
2197
#33
16.90.3
12.912.6
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
blue by 4.3
3865
#31
21.10.4
18.518.8
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed