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Red80
479116.1
540325.3
174130.6
Blue107
219716.9
174741.8
82926.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748020406010012014080107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#17
30.60.6
30.230.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
blue by 11.2
41.81.8
39.541.3
Auto15.5
Teleop21.8
End4.4
Second
5403
#28
25.30.6
25.225.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End4.6
blue by 1.5
829
#20
26.81.6
24.826.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.4
End3.7
Third
4791
#32
16.10.6
17.418.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End0.3
blue by 0.8
2197
#33
16.91.6
12.614.3
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned