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Red102
6825.7
102441.0
314725.4
Blue91
13535.8
86831.6
482417.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9482406010012014010291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.0
39.040.0
Auto7.8
Teleop27.0
End6.2
red by 5.2
135
#11
35.80.8
35.135.9
Auto10.0
Teleop18.1
End7.7
Second
68
#36
25.71.0
26.327.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End3.1
blue by 5.9
868
#8
31.60.8
29.630.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Third
3147
#27
25.41.0
24.125.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
red by 7.8
4824
#30
17.60.9
16.417.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed