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Red103
170132.6
86831.6
393628.9
Blue87
174130.6
410330.4
217126.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909160708010011012010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.7
30.631.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.3
End5.0
red by 2.0
1741
#17
30.60.5
30.830.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
868
#8
31.60.8
30.431.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.4
red by 1.2
4103
#13
30.40.5
30.530.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Third
28.90.8
26.427.1
Auto8.0
Teleop16.7
End4.2
red by 2.2
2171
#14
26.60.5
26.926.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed