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Red58
484610.3
482417.6
394032.3
Blue73
427225.1
219716.9
164624.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606402040801005873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
31.131.0
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End7.4
red by 7.2
4272
#25
25.10.8
24.225.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Second
4824
#30
17.60.1
17.317.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 6.5
1646
#24
24.00.8
23.224.0
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
4846
#38
10.30.1
10.310.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 6.6
2197
#33
16.90.8
14.315.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed