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Red250
11868.0
205675.2
3357.3
Blue237
19573.4
111461.1
22563.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253254240250260270280250237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.0
75.575.5
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 1.9
195
#4
73.40.5
74.874.3
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
Second
118
#2
68.00.0
68.268.2
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 4.1
225
#14
63.80.5
65.364.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
Third
33
#53
57.30.0
57.657.5
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
blue by 3.8
61.10.5
62.562.0
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8