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Red210
6765.1
362057.4
525450.1
Blue200
164037.3
248161.2
33062.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226198150250300350210200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
65.10.2
65.265.0
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 2.8
330
#23
62.30.3
62.662.3
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
57.40.2
57.557.3
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
blue by 3.8
61.20.3
61.561.2
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Third
5254
#22
50.10.2
50.250.0
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
red by 12.9
1640
#64
37.30.3
37.537.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3