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Red220
6765.1
362057.4
525450.1
Blue220
382452.2
248161.2
33062.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223219100150200250300350400450220220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
65.10.4
65.665.2
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 2.8
330
#23
62.30.3
62.862.6
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
57.40.4
57.957.5
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
blue by 3.8
61.20.3
61.861.5
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Third
5254
#22
50.10.4
50.650.2
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
blue by 2.0
3824
#46
52.20.3
52.452.2
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5