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Red205
6765.1
362057.4
368347.0
Blue247
382452.2
248161.2
33062.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222218100150200250300350400205247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
65.10.3
65.865.6
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 2.8
330
#23
62.30.4
62.562.8
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
57.40.3
58.257.9
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
blue by 3.8
61.20.4
61.461.8
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Third
3683
#16
47.00.3
47.347.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
blue by 5.2
3824
#46
52.20.4
52.152.4
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5