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Red270
19573.4
111461.1
22563.8
Blue166
180653.3
23329.5
17956.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262162100200300350270166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
73.40.5
72.773.2
Auto21.0
Teleop42.4
End10.0
red by 17.3
179
#19
56.00.2
55.856.0
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
Second
225
#14
63.80.5
63.163.7
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 10.5
1806
#17
53.30.2
53.153.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Third
61.10.5
60.460.9
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
red by 31.6
233
#65
29.50.2
29.329.5
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End4.9