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Red135
171847.3
86857.8
23329.5
Blue65
1650.4
180653.3
546049.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381645010020025030013565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#20
57.80.2
53.152.9
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
red by 4.5
1806
#17
53.36.0
48.742.7
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Second
1718
#57
47.30.2
48.848.6
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.0
blue by 3.0
16
#40
50.46.0
52.946.8
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
Third
233
#65
29.50.2
36.135.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End4.9
blue by 19.6
5460
#54
49.16.0
53.947.9
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
73%Capture oddsEarned92%Capture oddsMissed