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Red182
62437.5
22563.8
458753.6
Blue151
525450.1
17956.0
102451.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141163050100200250300350400182151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#14
63.81.8
56.558.3
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 7.8
179
#19
56.00.3
55.555.2
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
Second
4587
#26
53.61.8
48.650.4
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
red by 1.7
1024
#36
51.90.3
53.453.1
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
Third
624
#42
37.51.8
35.036.8
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 12.6
5254
#22
50.10.3
46.646.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned100%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
90%Capture oddsEarned91%Capture oddsEarned