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Red104
2036.9
131039.4
250244.6
Blue167
348141.2
245159.4
248161.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113161050200250300104167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#27
44.61.2
36.635.4
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
blue by 16.7
61.20.5
59.760.2
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
1310
#50
39.41.2
39.438.1
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
blue by 20.0
2451
#11
59.40.5
49.650.1
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
Third
20
#62
36.91.2
41.139.9
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
blue by 4.3
3481
#59
41.20.5
39.940.4
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
23%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned