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Red152
161953.8
4540.8
33062.3
Blue134
105845.8
108644.3
3357.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147145120130140150160170152134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#23
62.30.4
61.161.5
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
red by 5.0
33
#53
57.30.6
57.356.7
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
Second
53.80.4
42.743.2
Auto17.5
Teleop29.3
End7.1
red by 8.0
1058
#32
45.80.6
45.444.8
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
Third
45
#9
40.80.4
36.837.3
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
blue by 3.6
1086
#49
44.30.6
40.439.8
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
54%Capture oddsEarned82%Capture oddsMissed