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Red160
403940.9
6765.1
205254.8
Blue155
233844.4
86857.8
248161.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157155120140180160155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
65.10.5
57.858.3
Auto16.4
Teleop35.8
End12.9
red by 3.9
61.20.3
59.259.5
Auto17.6
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
2052
#13
54.80.5
51.752.2
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
blue by 2.9
868
#20
57.80.3
52.052.3
Auto13.7
Teleop38.1
End6.0
Third
4039
#34
40.90.5
42.442.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
blue by 3.5
2338
#33
44.40.3
39.339.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
73%Capture oddsEarned62%Capture oddsEarned