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Red122
173143.2
105845.8
201347.0
Blue172
382452.2
2036.9
205675.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127164050100200250300350122172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#47
47.00.5
45.344.9
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
blue by 28.2
75.21.2
69.670.9
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
Second
1058
#32
45.80.5
42.842.3
Auto9.5
Teleop25.8
End10.5
blue by 6.4
3824
#46
52.21.2
45.046.2
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
Third
1731
#39
43.20.5
40.840.4
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 6.3
20
#62
36.91.2
39.140.3
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
65%Capture oddsMissed81%Capture oddsEarned