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Red109
23442.7
246837.1
348141.2
Blue150
4540.8
353843.6
13358.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121144050100200250109150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#68
42.71.5
39.838.3
Auto12.1
Teleop23.1
End7.5
blue by 15.4
133
#29
58.20.6
55.656.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
Second
3481
#59
41.21.5
41.339.8
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
blue by 2.3
3538
#25
43.60.6
42.743.3
Auto12.3
Teleop28.2
End3.0
Third
2468
#48
37.11.5
40.138.7
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
blue by 3.7
45
#9
40.80.6
38.238.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed68%Capture oddsEarned