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Red109
174749.4
167537.7
124161.8
Blue117
108644.3
7138.7
102349.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212905001,0001,500109117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.81.8
56.654.7
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 11.9
1023
#44
49.91.0
47.346.3
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
Second
1747
#18
49.41.8
42.340.5
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
red by 5.1
1086
#49
44.31.0
39.438.4
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Third
1675
#61
37.71.8
37.535.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.5
End4.2
blue by 0.9
71
#28
38.71.0
40.239.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
86%Capture oddsMissed55%Capture oddsMissed