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Red134
282633.0
546049.1
261441.9
Blue120
496741.2
17956.0
164037.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126149050100200250300134120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#54
49.10.2
48.548.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
blue by 6.9
179
#19
56.01.8
57.555.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.7
End12.0
Second
2614
#43
41.90.2
42.843.0
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
red by 0.7
4967
#66
41.21.8
44.943.1
Auto8.9
Teleop25.3
End7.1
Third
2826
#69
33.00.2
34.734.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
blue by 4.2
1640
#64
37.31.8
39.437.6
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsMissed70%Capture oddsMissed