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Red130
458753.6
368347.0
152929.8
Blue159
111461.1
301533.7
2746.5
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139137100120160130159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#26
53.60.1
49.549.5
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
blue by 7.5
61.10.3
54.254.5
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
3683
#16
47.00.1
50.050.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 0.5
27
#31
46.50.3
48.649.0
Auto11.7
Teleop26.5
End8.2
Third
1529
#58
29.80.1
29.729.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
blue by 3.9
3015
#60
33.70.3
35.936.3
Auto9.7
Teleop19.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
92%Capture oddsEarned84%Capture oddsMissed