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Red160
362057.4
131039.4
91039.4
Blue127
313043.2
3357.3
62437.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13214350100200160127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.41.7
52.354.0
Auto12.0
Teleop37.6
End7.8
red by 0.1
33
#53
57.30.7
55.855.2
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
Second
1310
#50
39.41.7
41.042.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
blue by 3.8
3130
#35
43.20.7
45.745.0
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Third
910
#55
39.41.7
36.338.0
Auto15.0
Teleop19.7
End4.7
red by 1.8
624
#42
37.50.7
35.835.1
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned56%Capture oddsMissed