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Red225
22563.8
11868.0
180653.3
Blue154
152929.8
13358.2
205254.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17913650100150200250300225154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
68.03.5
65.869.3
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 9.8
133
#29
58.21.1
56.257.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.0
End11.3
Second
225
#14
63.83.5
56.660.1
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
red by 9.0
2052
#13
54.81.1
52.253.3
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
Third
1806
#17
53.33.5
45.348.8
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
red by 23.5
1529
#58
29.81.1
29.830.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
90%Capture oddsEarned73%Capture oddsMissed