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Red215
205675.2
102349.9
3357.3
Blue145
250244.6
102451.9
546049.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187142050100250300215145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.22.7
73.275.8
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
red by 23.4
1024
#36
51.90.1
55.755.8
Auto13.5
Teleop32.8
End5.6
Second
33
#53
57.32.6
56.258.8
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
red by 8.2
5460
#54
49.10.1
49.849.8
Auto9.9
Teleop31.6
End7.6
Third
1023
#44
49.92.6
45.948.5
Auto10.4
Teleop30.0
End9.5
red by 5.3
2502
#27
44.60.1
38.638.7
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
89%Capture oddsEarned67%Capture oddsEarned