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Red162
21756.1
4540.8
11868.0
Blue126
172034.9
125736.0
124161.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182114050100150200250300162126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
68.01.0
69.368.3
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 6.2
1241
#30
61.80.4
55.355.6
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
Second
217
#7
56.11.0
59.258.2
Auto14.9
Teleop31.6
End9.6
red by 20.1
1257
#51
36.00.4
32.432.8
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
Third
45
#9
40.81.0
38.837.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
red by 5.9
1720
#63
34.90.4
32.833.1
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
96%Capture oddsEarned77%Capture oddsMissed