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Red122
140530.4
233844.4
201347.0
Blue185
174749.4
180653.3
33062.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115159050100200250300350122185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#47
47.00.1
47.147.0
Auto13.8
Teleop25.9
End7.3
blue by 15.3
330
#23
62.32.5
57.660.1
Auto15.3
Teleop36.2
End10.8
Second
2338
#33
44.40.1
39.839.7
Auto9.3
Teleop31.1
End4.0
blue by 8.9
1806
#17
53.32.5
48.851.3
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Third
1405
#52
30.40.1
31.231.2
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 19.0
1747
#18
49.42.5
41.544.0
Auto15.1
Teleop27.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
29%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsEarned