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Red130
282633.0
4540.8
245159.4
Blue165
180653.3
458753.6
403940.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12915150100200250300130165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#11
59.40.1
57.257.3
Auto17.6
Teleop33.7
End8.1
red by 5.8
4587
#26
53.61.4
51.653.0
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
45
#9
40.80.1
38.338.4
Auto9.1
Teleop27.7
End4.0
blue by 12.5
1806
#17
53.31.4
50.652.1
Auto13.8
Teleop35.1
End4.4
Third
2826
#69
33.00.1
33.133.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.5
End6.6
blue by 7.9
4039
#34
40.91.4
41.142.6
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
33%Capture oddsMissed68%Capture oddsEarned