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Red158
125736.0
7138.7
11868.0
Blue175
111461.1
1650.4
3357.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139171050100200250300158175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
68.01.2
69.170.3
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 6.9
61.10.9
56.657.4
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
71
#28
38.71.2
37.839.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.1
End10.5
blue by 18.6
33
#53
57.30.9
57.258.1
Auto12.1
Teleop33.8
End11.4
Third
1257
#51
36.01.2
33.134.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 14.4
16
#40
50.40.9
47.948.8
Auto10.9
Teleop29.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
92%Capture oddsEarned90%Capture oddsEarned