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Red190
111461.1
124161.8
246837.1
Blue107
131039.4
382452.2
23329.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164121050100150200250190107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#30
61.81.1
58.759.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 9.6
3824
#46
52.21.1
53.252.1
Auto17.1
Teleop31.6
End3.5
Second
61.11.1
58.960.0
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
red by 21.7
1310
#50
39.41.1
40.539.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Third
2468
#48
37.11.1
36.037.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
red by 7.6
233
#65DQ
29.51.1
30.529.3
Auto9.6
Teleop14.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
91%Capture oddsEarned35%Capture oddsMissed