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Red125
331445.0
261441.9
348141.2
Blue205
205675.2
11868.0
458753.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11821550100150200250300125205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#41
45.00.3
45.345.0
Auto10.6
Teleop25.6
End8.8
blue by 30.2
75.20.7
74.775.4
Auto20.0
Teleop43.4
End11.9
Second
2614
#43
41.90.3
42.241.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.9
End7.1
blue by 26.0
118
#2
68.00.7
67.568.1
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
Third
3481
#59
41.20.3
41.541.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
blue by 12.4
4587
#26
53.60.7
52.953.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned100%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed99%Capture oddsEarned