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Red128
173143.2
527936.5
113732.3
Blue122
218614.6
337321.7
34645.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16990050150200250128122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
blue by 2.1
346
#31
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 14.8
3373
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Third
1137
#13
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 17.7
2186
#32
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto1.4
Teleop10.8
End2.4