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Red5
173143.2
527936.5
113732.3
Blue0
253730.6
594524.3
236336.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16610705020025030035050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
red by 6.4
2363
#29
36.80.0
36.836.8
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End8.3
Second
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
red by 5.8
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End5.4
Third
1137
#13
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 8.0
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7