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Red94
38430.6
11629.8
34645.3
Blue103
527936.5
108644.3
173143.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10513105015020025030035040094103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#31
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 0.9
1086
#14
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Second
384
#22
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 12.6
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.7
End3.0
Third
116
#19
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
blue by 6.7
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds55%Capture odds