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Red64
337321.7
44926.8
191519.2
Blue78
62331.4
33931.4
189526.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65960501502006478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#27
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 4.6
623
#6
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
3373
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
blue by 9.7
339
#2
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto9.2
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
1915
#33
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 6.9
1895
#30
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds4%Capture odds