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Red66
206832.0
141839.6
594524.3
Blue57
108644.3
188539.1
658415.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100100607080901101201301406657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#16
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto11.1
Teleop20.2
End8.3
blue by 4.7
1086
#14
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
Second
2068
#26
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.8
blue by 7.1
1885
#20
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto7.8
Teleop24.8
End6.5
Third
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End4.7
red by 8.7
6584
#17
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds8%Capture odds