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Red86
108022.8
44926.8
384B15.3
Blue62
34645.3
61928.0
62012.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62930501502008662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#27
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 18.4
346
#31
45.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
1080
#12
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 5.2
619
#18
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Third
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.3
red by 2.7
620
#28
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds1%Capture odds