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Red75
112323.8
113732.3
533831.3
Blue83
527936.5
337321.7
428629.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909070801001107583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1137
#13
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
blue by 4.2
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End6.0
Second
5338
#25
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.0
End7.1
red by 1.6
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.9
End5.2
Third
1123
#21
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 2.1
3373
#11
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds8%Capture odds