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Red10
11629.8
191519.2
108644.3
Blue15
558723.4
112323.8
61928.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100740501502001015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#14
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto10.5
Teleop30.1
End3.8
red by 16.3
619
#18
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto10.3
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Second
116
#19
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto7.4
Teleop15.0
End7.4
red by 6.0
1123
#21
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto10.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
1915
#33
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 4.2
5587
#23
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds0%Capture odds